Sea Level Impacts
Extreme events
Introduction
As mean sea level rises, extreme events of a given height tend to become more frequent, as shown schematically in the following figure:

We quantify the occurrence of such events by the Return Period or
Average Recurrence Interval, which is the average time between events. The effect
of sea level rise during the 20th century is indicated in the following figures, which shows
the change of Average Recurrence Interval from the first half of the century to the second, at
Fort Denison and Fremantle. It can be seen that the Average Recurrence Interval for these
extremes was reduced by a factor or around three at both sites, so that an extreme that used to
occur, say, every three years now occurs every one year.
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Fremantle

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Fort Denison

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