Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts

On the left: Forecasts of average sea surface temperature (SST) for the next 2 fortnights through to 2 months in future, as determined by the Bureau of Meteorology's state-of-the-art seasonal to inter-annual seasonal forecast system POAMA (Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia). Forecasts were issued on the date specified in the upper right corner of the figure. The black line represents the 200 m contour.

On the right: Graphs showing forecasted SST along the 200 m contour.


When interpretting these forecasts it is important to keep in mind that accuracy (or 'skill') declines as the model forecasts further into the future. Please click on Forecast skill to see the skill expected for the forecasts shown below.

 

SST forecast: next fortnight

Forecast SST map Close-up eastern GAB The bigger picture

 

 

SST forecast: second fortnight

Forecast SST map Close-up eastern GAB The bigger picture

 

 

Forecasted SST: next calendar month

Forecast SST map Close-up eastern GAB The bigger picture

 

 

Forecasted SST: second calendar month

Forecast SST map Close-up eastern GAB The bigger picture