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These maps (of which there are three, click the image to expand then click through to see the others) give a nation-wide summary of the skill of the geostrophic velocity at all the locations of the ANMN shelf array of ADCPs. We define skill as 1-MAE/(MM+MO), where MAE is the mean (over a 6-year period) of the absolute value of the (de-meaned) daily error (the vector difference of the two velocity estimates), MM is the mean absolute (de-meaned) model (i.e. the geostrophic velocity at the closest grid point to the ADCP) and MO is the mean absolute (de-meaned) observation (i.e. the ADCP data, averaged between 30m and 80m and over a 50h period). FAQs: 1) Why demean everything? A: Because errors of the mean velocity are determined by the mean absolute topography, not the altimeter or tide gauge observations. 2) why average the ADCP between 30 and 80m? A: because the ADCP data has more error and non-geostrophic velocity signal (surface reflections, Ekman) closer to the surface. We show skill in three categories. For 2009 to 2014, it is only at 22% (12/54) of locations that the skill is more than 0.5. For 2015-2020, however, this rises to 37% (14/38) while in 2021-2025 it is 27% (8/29). The intermediate category of skill (0.4 to 0.5) occurs at about the same number of locations. The next series of maps look at these statistics more closely. |