Forecast skill: first fortnight

Map showing skill of the SST forecast for the first fortnight in future, as specified in the map title. Skill is measured using Pearson's correlation coefficient (r), where:

  • r < 0.4 (shown as white) means no skill (forecast not useful)
  • r > 0.4 indicates useful information
  • r = 1 means best possible skill (perfect correlation).

 

forecast skill lead 1

 

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