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CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric
Research
Past Seminars
Seminar Abstract
Friday 2 December 2005, 11.30am (Tas time)
CSIRO Auditorium, Hobart
Tilla Roy
Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC
Oxygen: a reliable tracer of large-scale biological
productivity in the oceans?
Climate change experiments have predicted a 15% reduction
of biological productivity in the oceans over the next century.
But, we do not know how to measure these changes yet. Two observational
techniques, based on seasonal oxygen variability, have potential.
One technique uses air-sea oxygen fluxes and the other uses atmospheric
O2/N2 concentrations. But, in the southern hemisphere oceans, current
estimates of new production based on the atmospheric technique are
almost a factor of three times higher than estimates based on the
oceanic technique.
We apply both techniques to simulated oxygen fields in the southern
hemisphere. We evaluate how effectively the techniques retrieve
simulated new production, and demonstrate that the new production
estimates are biased by physical oxygen fluxes; particularly by
oxygen fluxes driven by the ventilation of the Southern Ocean. Estimates
based on atmospheric O2/N2 are more biased by ventilation oxygen
fluxes than those based on air-sea oxygen fluxes. Consequently,
the atmospheric technique greatly overestimates new production.
However, the atmospheric technique lends itself better to monitoring
long-term changes in biological productivity. For seasonal oxygen
variability to be a reliable tracer of new production, we need to
estimate the magnitude of the bias introduced by the ventilation
oxygen flux and be confident that the long-term variability of the
ventilation oxygen flux is small.
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CSIRO = Marine Laboratories Auditorium, Castray Esplanade,
Hobart
For further information, or to schedule a seminar,
contact:
Karen
Wild-Allen, (Oceanographic seminars) CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric
Research (03) 6232 5010
Piers
Dunstan, (Biological seminars) CSIRO Marine Research (03) 6232
5382
Kerrie Bidwell,
Antarctic Climate
and Ecosystems CRC
(03) 6226 2265 &
IASOS, University of Tasmania (03) 6226 2509
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