August 2017 :
Early July, the World Climate Research Program Grand Challenge for Sea Level Rise organised a conference in New York. Some of our work was presented there. Following the science presented at the conference, a statement has been published and can be viewed [here].
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The SEA LEVEL RISE :
We love the coast. Coastal regions, particularly some
low-lying river deltas, have very high population densities. In excess
of 150 million people live within 1 metre of high tide level, and 250
million within 5 metres of high tide. There are billions of dollars invested
in coastal infrastructure immediately adjacent to the coast. Many of
the world's mega cities (populations of many millions) are on the coast.
The Oceans are changing. Many observations show that the ocean
has been changing over the last several decades. One aspect of this is a warming
ocean resulting in increase of ocean volume through thermal expansion.
There has also been addition of water from glacier and ice sheets and changes in
storage of water on or in the land (e.g. retention of water in man-made dams and
extraction of water from aquifers). These together result in changes in sea level.
An issue of the journal Science has focused on a number of aspects of ocean change,
including sea-level rise. You can view the full-text version of the editorial
A (pdf) reprint of this editorial can be obtained from
This sea-level rise is a response to increasing concentrations of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere and the consequent changes in the global climate.
Sea-level rise contributes to coastal erosion
and inundation of low-lying coastal regions, particularly during extreme
sea level events. It also leads to saltwater intrusion into aquifers,
deltas and estuaries. These changes impact on coastal ecosystems, water
resources, and human settlements and activities. Regions at most risk
include heavily populated deltaic regions, small islands (especially
coral atolls), and sandy coasts backed by major coastal developments.
On this web site, we attempt to bring together information on sea level
rise and its causes. We also include our estimates of global and regional sea level, links
to other web pages and data sets and a list of our publications.
Photos: Bruce Miller, 2006
Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) - 1880 to the end of 2014
Our most recent estimate of changes in global averaged sea level since 1993 are estimated from satellite altimeter data (red) and since 1880 by combining in situ sea level data from coastal tide gauges and the spatial patterns of variability determined from satellite altimeter data (blue).
Note that error bars have not been shown for the altimeter data (red curve) for clarity, but are about ±5 mm.
Note also that the error bars on the tide gauge-based estimate get larger in the last few years. This is because the number of gauges going in to the estimate drops off for the last couple of years because of delays getting the most recent data into the PSMSL archive, which is where we get this data from. This is simply due to the the time it takes the various national archives to compile and submit the data.
CLICK HERE to download a print-quality
pdf of this figure.