Marine Climate Impacts and Adaptation
Profile
: Lucy Robinson
PhD Student
Predicting shifts in marine fish species distributions in response
to climate change
Human induced climate change is expected to alter physical and
chemical (abiotic) oceanographic conditions and processes around
Australia and worldwide. The influence this could have on various
marine fish species (or group) distributions is still relatively
unknown. I will firstly focus on modeling abiotic limitations
of marine fish species ranges, in Australian waters and globally,
under various climate change scenarios. Secondly I will consider
integrating additional influential biotic factors, such as species
interactions, phenotypic expression and long distance dispersal
events into basic abiotic distribution models. In achieving these
aims I hope to be able to identify those fish species that have
a higher vulnerability to extinction due to their inability to
move or adapt and those that may be able to move with projected
climate change conditions and thereby form suitable ‘environmental-trackers’.
Advisors
Publications:
Robinson L, Elith J, Hobday AJ, Pearson RG, Kendall BE, Possingham HP, Richardson AJ (2011) Pushing the limits in marine-based species distribution modelling: lessons from the land present challenges and opportunities. Global Ecology and Biogeography, DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00636.x
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